The U.S. cannabis industry is poised for some historic gains with the upcoming presidential election, but that hasn’t translated into investor confidence or a leg up with capital raises, Jason Vedadi, the CEO of Arizona-based multistate operator Story Cannabis, told Green Market Report.
Vedadi began the conversation by noting how far into the mainstream the marijuana trade has made it, now that both Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump have formally gone on record supporting cannabis rescheduling, which once completed should save the industry billions a year in tax write-offs.
“The most positive thing is that it looks like we’ve got, at least on the surface, pro-rescheduling out of both parties. We’re losing the prohibitionist lifestyle of prosecuting people over cannabis,” Vedadi said.
That said, Vedadi doesn’t think the cannabis industry will get everything it’s hoping for out of Washington, D.C., in coming months. Instead, he warned, it’s quite likely that the GOP will retake control of the U.S. Senate, so a Harris win would probably mean more partisan gridlock, including on measures such as the SAFER Banking Act.
On the flip side, if Trump wins, Vedadi acknowledged a new Republican administration could include some prohibitionists in the cabinet, much like former Attorney General Jeff Sessions during the first Trump presidency.
“I think you have some good and bad with both of ’em, where historically I think it’s just kind of been good or bad,” Vedadi said.
“See it to believe it”
Either way, the upsides of rescheduling now being a near-certainty have yet to hit home with the investor class, Vedadi said when asked if Trump’s endorsement had given him more ammunition for fundraising.
“I think people are super tired, and the rug’s been pulled too many times,” Vedadi said, referring to how the industry has gotten its hopes up in prior Congressional sessions for substantive reform, only to be disappointed at the last moment, particularly with banking access.
“There’s just too much of a ‘see it to believe it’ in our industry now,” Vedadi said. “You’re seeing it in stock prices in particular. Pre-lame duck two years ago, these stocks were about double where they are now, and their company performances are almost all better today, with more positive outlook, with multiple catalysts, and we’re still not seeing what I think is rational valuation summary from public market perspective. So it leads me to believe that the general investing market is still kind of in, ‘Once you guys show us this actually happens, we’re going to come in, we’re not going to do it before.’”
Still, Vedadi says he’s “optimistic,” and believes that rescheduling and the accompanying 280E tax relief will arrive in the first half – or even the first quarter – of 2025.
“I’m pretty optimistic. I haven’t seen anything that tells me, ‘Boy, the DEA is really stalling,’” Vedadi said. “By actually having this hearing, I feel like that solidifies that they don’t want any kind of error in this. I feel like the government is actually not being disingenuous.”
Story Cannabis alone would save tens of millions of dollars per year in tax payments once 280E no longer applies to state-legal marijuana businesses, Vedadi said, and pointed out it would be even more for bigger MSO’s that have larger footprints. And the benefits of rescheduling and the 280E burden disappearing will be multifold.
“That allows us to drop our prices, bring our margins down, and not worry about how we have to actually make money by creating margins. So I think what you could do is effectively give up your tax savings, increase your revenue, and then pick up the whole black market … because you become more competitive,” Vedadi said.
Story’s next target, he said, is the Sun Belt, which is arguably the final frontier for legal marijuana. Vedadi said Story Cannabis is eyeballing entrances to Alabama, Georgia, Kentucky, North Carolina and Virginia now.
“We want to be an early established medical business before the state matures to rec,” Vedadi said. “We’re much more focused on the inception of a market than we’re the ones that are mature.”
Massachusetts regulators will require cannabis businesses to use a single laboratory for all compliance testing in an effort to prevent companies from shopping around for favorable test results.
The state’s Cannabis Control Commission voted 3-0 to require licensed businesses submit testing samples to one independent laboratory starting April 1, 2025, according to an administrative order advanced Thursday. The new rule is meant to close loopholes that some say have allowed companies to shop around for labs to juice their numbers for market share.
“This administrative order continues our mission of being a strong regulator,” Acting Executive Director Debbie Hilton-Creek said in a statement.
Under current rules, companies can split testing among multiple labs. The practice has led some facilities to report suspiciously high THC levels or overlook contamination to attract business.
The commission’s enforcement team said the changes would reduce risks of noncompliant products reaching consumers and improve audit capabilities. The move follows a November listening session in which testing concerns were raised, according to the announcement.
If an original testing lab needs to subcontract work, they must first obtain commission approval and demonstrate they are “incapable of performing certain required tests due to a hardship.” Labs also can only subcontract with one other facility at a time.
“The commission shall only approve subcontracting agreements when the Originating Independent Testing Laboratory is incapable of performing certain required tests due to a hardship relative to its facilities, instrumentation, personnel, or required consumable materials or in the event of an actual or potential conflict of interest,” according to the order.
Results must be uploaded to the state’s tracking system within 72 hours, with all certificates of analysis containing the complete testing results, including any subcontracted work, it said.
The commission will also begin publishing THC test results on its public data platform and establishing regular meetings with licensed laboratories to improve oversight.
The commission thus far has struggled to implement effective testing oversight. Earlier this year, the agency contracted with a private lab for a “secret shopper” program to verify retail products’ test results, Green Market Report previously reported. Unlike other major cannabis markets such as California and Colorado, Massachusetts lacks a state reference lab to independently verify commercial lab results.
Analysis of testing data by MCR Labs found that across multiple states, laboratories reporting higher THC concentrations tend to increase their market share while those reporting average failure rates lose business, according to Chemical & Engineering News.
Florida-based Cansortium (CSE: TIUM.U) (OTCQB: CNTMF), which does business as Fluent, has finalized its megamerger with New York-based RIV Capital, (CSE: RIV) (OTC: CNPOF), creating a new multistate operator that has a footprint in four states with 42 operational dispensaries.
The move gives Cansortium immediate access to New York, one of the fastest-growing legal marijuana markets in the nation, along with its existing portfolio of cannabis shops and grows in its home state, Pennsylvania and Texas. The company now owns eight total cultivation and processing facilities, which it said in a press release would allow it to bolster the Fluent brand even more going forward.
The company reportedly has $33 million in the bank with which to finance further acquisitions, it said in a Thursday announcement.
Another major winner in the deal is Scotts Miracle-Gro, which has a sizable stake in RIV Capital through its subsidiary The Hawthorne Collective. Existing shares will be converted into 1.245 shares of the newly formed Fluent, eliminating $160 million in company debt.
Shareholders of Cansortium will own 51.25% of the new Fluent, while shareholders of RIV Capital will own 48.75%, the company said. The company will continue trading under Cansortium’s existing ticker symbols on the Canadian Securities Exchange and the Over-The-Counter markets.
Cansortium CEO Robert Beasley will continue to lead the new company, and RIV Capital interim CEO David Vautrin will serve as the new company’s chief commercial officer.
Beasley said in the release that Fluent intends to scale up wholesale operations in New York to boost its Moods brand of marijuana products and “gain additional shelf space in dispensaries across the state,” which he said has “immense potential.”
The merger could prove key to the long-term prospects for both Cansortium and RIV Capital. Cansortium posted an $11.7 million net loss for the third quarter of 2024, and RIV Capital reported a $63.4 million net loss for the same period.
“Looking ahead, we remain focused on sustainable, long-term growth and will continue to drive efficiencies across all areas of the business to achieve our profitability and cash generation goals,” Beasley said.
Greenway Greenhouse Cannabis Corp. entered into an asset purchase agreement to acquire all of Choice Growers’ consumer packaged goods brands, SKUs and listings of the brands, trademarks, goodwill and other associated intellectual property. This acquisition encompasses all of Choice Growers’ brands, including Grapefruit God Bud (also known as Grape God), The Jeffrey, Watermelon Pebbles, Pink Lemonade, Duke Nukem, Tangerine Dream and Blackberry Cheesecake.
Innocan Pharma Corp. intends to complete a non-brokered private placement of up to 3.5 million units of the company at a price of C$0.20 per unit for gross proceeds up to C$700,000 plus 15% overallotment options. The offering is expected to close on or around Dec. 31.