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Michigan cannabis prices plunge as oversupply reaches astonishing highs

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This article was reprinted with permission from Crain’s Detroit Business.

Adult-use marijuana prices dropped another 3.9% in January as product oversupply continues to take its toll on the Michigan market.

The sales data from the Michigan Cannabis Regulatory Agency is another blow to growers and processors across the state that are struggling to generate any margin at all.

Growers are starting to fold: Last week, Bay County marijuana operator Pincanna temporarily shuttered 31,500-square-feet of its grow facility and laid off employees to mitigate losses. Chicago-based PharmaCann shuttered its 207,000-square-foot LivWell Michigan cultivation site in Warren, laying off 222, in January. And in November, Fluresh shuttered its $46 million, 105,000-square-foot grow facility in Adrian.

Prices have fallen more than 28.6% since January 2024 to an average cost of just $66.50 for an ounce of marijuana in the adult-use market.

Those are the cheapest prices in the country. In Oregon, the average cost of a gram of marijuana flower in January was $3.50, or about $99.22 per ounce.

Source: Michigan Cannabis Regulatory Agency

The oversupply of product in the system is commoditizing the prices. For instance, there were roughly 485,520 pounds of fresh marijuana flower at retailers, processors and growers on Jan. 31, 2024. At the end of last month, that total ballooned to more than 715,568 pounds, an increase of more than 47% year-over-year.

But the real issue at hand is the amount of fresh frozen marijuana flower in the system — product that is usually grown outside during the summer months, harvested in October and distributed around the year for infused liquids and edibles.

On Jan. 31 this year, there were 1.84 million pounds of fresh frozen product at processors and growers — a 296% increase over Jan. 31, 2024.

Source: Crain’s Detroit Business and Michigan Cannabis Regulatory Agency

The oversupply problem is so bad that Beau Whitney, a cannabis economist and chief economist for Oregon-based Whitney Economics, predicts if Michigan growers reduced their plant totals to the lowest levels of their licenses, there would still be excessive oversupply.

Licenses have ranges in Michigan, for instance a Class C grow license is 501 plants to 2,000 plants. So if a grower with three Class C licenses reduced its plant total to just 1,503, for instance.

Even if the thousands of growers across the state scrapped tens of thousands of marijuana plants, Michigan would still produce 3 million more pounds of marijuana than is needed to supply the entire legal market and the illicit black market in the state combined, according to Whitney.

“Oversupply is a common problem in cannabis states, even many of those that limit licenses,” Whitney told Crain’s. “While being beneficial to consumers by driving lower prices, it can be the death knell for cannabis licensees. With higher post-COVID labor and supply chain costs combined with depressed pricing at the wholesale and retail levels, cultivators are operating with negative margins and a lack of profitability. Many cultivators are forecasted to fail this upcoming year.”

The industry has previously pushed for a temporary moratorium on issuing new licenses to stabilize pricing, but that effort appears to have lost steam. The state issued 34 new licenses in January along with 32 prequalification approvals. It also received another 73 license applications.

Dave Morrow, CEO of the state’s largest marijuana operator, Evart-based Lume Cannabis Co., predicts more and more indoor cultivators will throw in the towel as cheap, outdoor grows will flourish. With such a large oversupply and cheap product, many experts, including Morrow, suspect oversupply is being illegally sold across state lines.

“Plants grown indoors will definitely be reduced and outdoor growing is going to run wild,” Morrow wrote in a text to Crain’s. “My guess is you see that fresh frozen inventory at least triple next year. Most of that will get exported since Michigan has little enforcement policy with very minor traffic-ticket like penalties.”

But those same low prices have created the strongest cannabis consumer market in the U.S.

The state’s legal industry sold $3.29 billion in cannabis in 2024, an increase of 7.6% over 2023, according to CRA data.

On a per capita basis, that’s $327.91 worth of marijuana per resident in the state. For context, the country’s largest legal weed market, California, only sold $121.24 worth of marijuana per capita in 2024.

Total marijuana sales in January did drop more than 6.8% month-to-month as January is typically the slowest sales month of the year as New Year’s resolutions hit.

Whitney predicts 2024 was the peak sales for the Michigan market, as the low prices collapse the industry and more and more operators push their product to the black market to meet customer demand and the rise of competitor markets in Ohio, which began legal adult-use sales in September last year.

He predicts total sales will drop to $2.7 billion or $2.8 billion in 2025 or 2026.



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Nebraska medical cannabis regulations stall in legislative committee

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A Nebraska legislative committee voted 5-3 against advancing a bill designed to implement and regulate the state’s medical cannabis program, leaving legislators and advocates searching for alternative paths forward, according to the Nebraska Examiner.

The General Affairs Committee rejected Legislative Bill 677, sponsored by State Sen. Ben Hansen of Blair, during a Thursday vote where committee members declined to offer amendments to the legislation, the publication reported.

“I don’t want to shut all the doors right now, but some doors are closing, and they’re closing fast, and so we have to act,” Hansen told reporters after the vote, according to the Examiner.

Nebraska voters approved medical cannabis in November 2024, with residents legally permitted to possess up to 5 ounces with a healthcare practitioner’s recommendation since mid-December. However, the regulatory commission created by the ballot initiative lacks effective power and funding to regulate the industry.

Hansen described his legislation as “a must” for 2025 to prevent a “Wild West” scenario in the state’s cannabis market. The bill would have expanded regulatory structure through the Nebraska Medical Cannabis Commission and extended deadlines for regulations and licensing to allow more time for implementation, the Examiner noted.

Committee disagreements centered on proposed restrictions. A committee amendment would have prohibited smoking cannabis and the sale of flower or bud products while limiting qualified healthcare practitioners to physicians, osteopathic physicians, physician assistants or nurse practitioners who had treated patients for at least six months.

The amendment also would have limited qualifying conditions to 15 specific ailments including cancer, epilepsy, HIV/AIDS, and chronic pain lasting longer than six months.

State Sen. Bob Andersen of Sarpy County opposed allowing vaping due to concerns about youth drug use, while committee chair Rick Holdcroft suggested selling cannabis flower would be “a gateway toward recreational marijuana,” a claim Hansen “heavily disputed,” according to the Examiner.

Hansen now faces a difficult path forward, requiring at least 25 votes to pull the bill from committee and then needing 33 senators to advance it across three rounds of debate, regardless of filibuster attempts.

Crista Eggers, executive director of Nebraskans for Medical Marijuana, remained optimistic despite the setback.

“This will not be the end,” Eggers said, according to the outlet. “Giving up has never been an option. Being silenced has never been an option. It’s not over. It’s not done.”

The legislative impasse is further complicated by ongoing litigation. Former state senator John Kuehn has filed two lawsuits challenging the voter-approved provisions, with one appeal pending before the Nebraska Supreme Court. The state’s Attorney General is also trying to do something about the hemp question, akin to other states across the country.



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One of Las Vegas’ cannabis lounges closes its doors

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Nevada’s cannabis lounge experiment faces some expected growing pains, with one of just two state-licensed venues closing its doors after barely a year in business, according to the Las Vegas Weekly.

“The regulatory framework, compliance costs and product limitations just don’t support a sustainable business model,” said Thrive Cannabis managing partner Mitch Britten, who plans to convert the space into an event venue until regulations loosen up.

The closure leaves Planet 13’s Dazed Consumption Lounge as the only operational state-regulated cannabis lounge in Nevada. Dazed manager Blake Anderson estimates the venue attracts around 250 customers daily, primarily tourists. One other establishment, Sky High Lounge, has operated since 2019 on sovereign Las Vegas Paiute Tribe land exempt from state regulations.

Even with Nevada regulators conditionally approving 21 more lounge licenses, potential owners are struggling to meet the $200,000 liquid assets requirement – particularly social equity applicants from communities hit hardest by prohibition.

Recreational marijuana has been legal statewide since 2017, but public consumption remains prohibited. That’s created an obvious disconnect for the millions of tourists who visit Las Vegas annually but have nowhere legal to use the products they purchase. The state recorded roughly $829 million in taxable sales during the 2024 fiscal year.

“It always comes down to money, and it’s difficult to get a space if you can’t afford to buy a building. On top of that, getting insurance and finding a landowner who’s willing to lease to a cannabis business is a challenge in and of itself,” said Christopher LaPorte, whose consulting firm Reset Las Vegas helped launch Smoke and Mirrors, told Las Vegas Weekly.

Many think the key to future success lies in legislative changes that would allow lounges to integrate with food service and entertainment – playing to Las Vegas’s strengths as a hospitality innovator. In the meantime, the industry will continue to adapt and push forward.

“Things take time,” LaPorte said. “There’s a culture that we have to continue to embrace and a lot of education that we still have to do. But at the end of the day, tourists need a place to smoke, and that’s what these places are.”



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Psyence Group consolidates its shares

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Psyence Group Inc. (CSE: PSYG) told investors that it will be consolidating all of its issued and outstanding share capital on the basis of every 15 existing common shares into one new common share effective April 23, 2025 with a record date of April 23, 2025. As a result of the consolidation, the issued and outstanding shares will be reduced to approximately 9,387,695 on the effective date.

This is the second time a Psyence company has consolidated shares recently. In November, its Nasdaq-listed associate, Psyence Biomedical Ltd. (Nasdaq: PBM), implemented a 1-for-75 share consolidation as the psychedelics company worked to maintain its Nasdaq listing.

Psyence Group reported earnings in February when the company delivered a net loss of C$3 million and was reporting as a going concern. At the end of 2024, the company said it had not yet achieved profitable operations, has accumulated losses of C$48,982,320 since its inception.

Total assets at the end of 2024 were C$11,944,478 and comprised predominantly of: cash and cash equivalents of C$10,611,113, other receivables of C$159,808, investment in PsyLabs of C$1,071,981 and prepaids of C$68,243.

Still, the company is pushing ahead. Psyence told investors that it has historically secured financing through share issuances and convertible debentures, and it continues to explore funding opportunities to support its operations and strategic initiatives. “Based on these actions and
management’s expectations regarding future funding and operational developments, the company believes it will have sufficient resources to meet its obligations as they become due for at least the next twelve months,” it said in its last financial filing.

The company said it believes that the consolidation will position it with greater flexibility for the development of its business and the growth of the company.

 



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